WTI odds of falling below $95 in November briefly hit 88%, up 26 percentage points in a day
Original headlineWTI 11월 95달러 하회 확률 한때 88%…하루 새 26% 증가
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Polymarket odds that WTI crude will fall below $95 per barrel at some point in November briefly hit 88%, a 26% jump in 24 hours, per PPP's prediction-market tracker as of 00:08 KST on the 3rd. The contract asks whether WTI drops to $95/barrel (about 126,635 won) during the month; contract probabilities reflect trading on the platform, not actual oil price moves. The repricing follows reports that WTI futures traded above $95 and news, carried by IRNA, that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said the Supreme Leader granted the government partial authority over negotiations—easing geopolitical supply-risk premium. The contract's sensitivity to Iran diplomacy headlines makes it a real-time gauge of crude risk sentiment; watch for further negotiation updates from Tehran and whether the probability holds or unwinds as November progresses.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
Named in this story
WTI (OIL), Polymarket, Masoud Pezeshkian
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