Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is likely to hold on to his job, say prediction markets | Fortune

Prediction markets quickly priced his tenure, with a Kalshi contract drawing more than $266,000 in volume that put the odds of Huang leaving before January 2029 at 54%, while a Polymarket market on when his resignation or removal will be announced drew over $305,000 and implied just a 16% chance of an announcement by year-end. The affair disclosure and probe inject governance and geopolitical risk into the world's most valuable chipmaker at a sensitive moment for its leadership. Traders will watch the board investigation's findings, any congressional testimony, and whether the scrutiny extends to Nvidia's China business.