RETIREMENT SALARY INCREASE: How much of a raise will retirees get? Will there be a flat-rate increase and a welfare share?

Millions of Turkish retirees are set to receive a pension increase at the start of the new year, with the government expected to apply an inflation differential plus a possible flat-rate (seyyanen) raise or welfare share (refah payı). The exact size of the raise remains unconfirmed, and citizens are closely following economists' estimates as the "how much will pensions rise" question circulates daily. The adjustment matters because it directly affects the income of a large segment of the population and will shape household consumption and the government's budget outlook. What to watch next is the official announcement of the inflation differential and whether Ankara adds a flat-rate top-up or welfare share on top of it.