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A Reuters poll of Wall Street strategists projects the US 10-year Treasury yield will fall to 4.75% by late 2027, with the benchmark expected to hold at 5.00% in three months before easing gradually over the next year. The forecast comes despite persistent inflation and the risk of further Federal Reserve tightening, suggesting strategists expect yields to decline even in a higher-for-longer rate environment. The 10-year yield is a key reference point for global borrowing costs, mortgage rates and equity valuations, so the projected decline implies relief on financing conditions ahead. Markets will watch incoming inflation prints and Fed policy signals for confirmation of the expected downward path in yields.

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US Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, Walter Bloomberg