Anthropic max IPO probability 31.7%… SpaceX 65–66.5%
Original headline앤트로픽 최대 IPO 확률 31.7%…스페이스X 65~66.5%
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On Polymarket, Anthropic’s probability of becoming the largest IPO by market capitalization in 2026 fell to 31.7% on the 4th from about 46% a week earlier, while SpaceX traded at 65–66.5% in the same contract. Cumulative trading volume for the market, which asks which company will hold the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, has surpassed $7.4 million. Polymarket probabilities reflect the prices participants pay for contracts rather than confirmed listing outcomes or company schedules. The shift signals traders are assigning greater odds to SpaceX over Anthropic in the race for the year’s biggest listing.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
Named in this story
SpaceX, Anthropic, Polymarket, Crypto Briefing