92% chance Democrats capture both chambers… prediction market contract indicator

Democrats are priced at 92% to win control of both chambers of Congress in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections on Predict.fun, as of 10:08 a.m. KST on the 4th. The same contract screen showed Republicans taking the Senate with Democrats holding the House at 9%, Republicans winning both chambers at 2%, and Democrats taking the Senate with Republicans holding the House at 1%. Total trading volume across the market reached $13.32 million. The figures are indicative contract prices tied to individual outcome contracts rather than a single probability distribution, since they do not sum to 100%. The contracts settle on which party controls each chamber after the election, not on the national popular vote, making the 92% reading the key gauge to watch as midterm odds shift.