A post by @NickTimiraos on X.
Economists expect growth in the core CPI to have moderated in October to around 0.22%, though the full range of estimates is broad enough to round down to 0.1% or round up to 0.3%.
@NickTimiraos on X
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Economists surveyed ahead of the October core CPI report expect monthly growth of roughly 0.22%, with estimates spanning a wide enough range to round anywhere from 0.1% to 0.3%, according to Nick Timiraos. The dispersion underscores unusual uncertainty around the inflation print, which matters because core CPI feeds directly into Federal Reserve rate expectations. Complicating the picture, the October 2025 government shutdown means there is no clean year-earlier comparison, leaving analysts to lean on month-over-month figures. Traders will watch where the actual reading lands within that 0.1%–0.3% band, since a print near either edge could shift odds for the Fed's next policy move.
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Named in this story
core CPI, Nick Timiraos, government shutdown