Expectation of a second consecutive surplus in the current account

Turkey’s current-account balance is expected to post a $2.3 billion surplus in September, according to a survey of 11 banks and brokerages, marking a second consecutive monthly surplus. Economists in the poll lowered their end-2026 current-account deficit forecast to $44.3 billion while raising their 2027 estimate to $46.5 billion. The projected surplus would extend a recent improvement in Turkey’s external accounts, a focus for investors and policymakers given its bearing on lira stability and external financing needs. Watchers will look to the official September current-account release to confirm the survey estimate and to subsequent monthly data for whether the surplus streak persists.