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Fed researchers find that oil price movements have passed through more strongly into core inflation since the pandemic, according to a paper highlighted by WSJ reporter Nick Timiraos. The study questions whether this reflects a genuine shift in inflation dynamics or simply more frequent and persistent supply shocks. The distinction matters because it determines how forcefully central banks should respond to energy-driven price pressures. Watch for further Fed commentary on whether the stronger pass-through is treated as structural or temporary when calibrating the pace of rate moves.

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Federal Reserve, Nick Timiraos