Expectation of a 2.3 billion dollar surplus in the current account balance: 2026 current account deficit forecast lowered

Turkish economists now expect a current account surplus of $2.3 billion for September 2026, according to the median estimate of 11 economists surveyed by Matriks Haber, while their full-year 2026 current account deficit forecast was cut to $44.3 billion. The same panel raised its 2027 deficit projection to $46.5 billion. The revised forecasts matter because they signal a narrower external financing gap for Turkey next year, easing pressure on the lira and reserves. Investors will watch upcoming monthly current account releases and any shift in the survey panel's assumptions on energy prices, tourism revenue and exports.