New formulas in the retirement raise: How much will January 2027 salaries be with a flat-rate increase and prosperity share?

Turkey’s January 2027 pension increase debate is centering on whether the government will combine a welfare share top-up with a flat-rate “seyyanen” raise, with attention focused on the minimum pension. Dr. Okan Güray Bülbül assessed possible increase scenarios based on a potential rise in the lowest pension to 33,000 TL and how that could affect base pension levels. The discussion matters because the chosen formula would determine how much of any increase reaches retirees with different base pensions, rather than applying a single uniform percentage. What to watch next is the final combination of welfare share and flat-rate increase the government adopts, and whether the 33,000 TL minimum is confirmed.