Anthropic IPO below $65 billion probability 30%... dropped 49% in 24 hours
Original headline앤트로픽 IPO 650억달러 미만 확률 30%…24시간 새 49% 하락
Not investment advice. Muhabbit scores how much a story may matter, not which way to trade.
The probability that Anthropic's total IPO gross proceeds will fall below $65 billion dropped to 30% on Polymarket, a 49% decline over 24 hours, with the contract screen showing 29.4% around 2 a.m. KST on the 12th. The $65 billion threshold refers to total shares issued at the final IPO offer price, not Anthropic's valuation, and excludes the greenshoe and concurrent private funding from settlement. The sharp move signals traders are increasingly pricing in a larger offering, though contract odds shift with trading and do not represent a confirmed deal size.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
Named in this story
Anthropic, Polymarket, Odaily