Prediction markets' monthly trading volume exceeded the two-year total… a16z crypto research analyzes October's record performance
Original headline예측시장, 한 달 거래액이 2년 합계 넘었다…a16z crypto 리서치, 10월 최대 실적 분석
Not investment advice. Muhabbit scores how much a story may matter, not which way to trade.
Prediction markets posted a record monthly performance in October 2026, with nominal trading volume reaching $123.6 billion—roughly 1.5 times the combined $82 billion traded across all of 2024 and 2025—according to a November 6 report from a16z crypto research's Robert Hackett. Cash actually paid to purchase contracts also exceeded the prior full year's total, while visits to major platform sites rivaled those of large news outlets. The report highlighted that both nominal volume, which measures contract payout value, and real cash outlays grew together, a sign of genuine participation rather than notional churn. The scale matters because it suggests prediction markets are moving from a niche crypto product toward a mainstream information venue with media-level audiences. What to watch next is whether cash-paid volumes and site traffic sustain these levels after October's record, and whether the trend carries into the 2026 U.S. midterm election cycle.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
Named in this story
prediction markets, a16z crypto research, Robert Hackett