Bitcoin fell in all 30-day returns after the Fed's 7 consecutive rate hikes.

Bitcoin fell over the following 30 days in all seven historical instances since 2016 where the Federal Reserve raised rates, paused at the next meeting, then hiked again, according to a Crypto Briefing analysis of price data through Nov. 4. The median 30-day return across those seven cases was -2.4%, a pattern now in focus after the Fed lifted its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16. The finding matters because it isolates a specific hike-pause-hike sequence rather than rate increases broadly, suggesting the subsequent pause-and-restart path has preceded consistent short-term weakness in BTC. Traders will watch whether bitcoin's 30-day performance after the current cycle's resumed tightening repeats the historical median decline or breaks the streak.