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Deutsche Bank now expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25 basis point rate hike in January 2027, revising a prior forecast that had projected increases in December and March. The change consolidates two anticipated moves into a single January hike, shifting the expected timing of the Fed's next tightening step. The revision matters because it alters the assumed path of U.S. borrowing costs into early 2027, a key input for rate-sensitive assets including bonds, the dollar and equities. Investors will watch upcoming Fed communications and inflation and labor data for confirmation of whether a January move remains on track.

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US Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Walter Bloomberg