EU gas storage rates could fall below 10% in the event of cold weather or Hormuz disruptions
Original headlineEU 가스 저장률, 추위·호르무즈 차질 땐 10% 아래로 내려갈 가능성
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The European Union entered the 2026–2027 winter heating season with its lowest natural gas inventories since 2013, and the International Energy Agency’s “2026 World Gas Supply Security Report” warns that storage could fall below 10% of working capacity by end-March 2027. That sub-10% figure is not a current reading or confirmed forecast but a simulation combining colder-than-normal weather with sustained disruption to LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. The IEA report, published on the 3rd, defines the storage rate as the share of working capacity actually filled with gas. The finding matters because Europe is starting the heating season with unusually thin buffers, leaving it more exposed to demand spikes and supply interruptions. What to watch next is early-winter drawdown rates and whether LNG flows through Hormuz normalize; a cold snap combined with continued shipping disruption would push storage toward the simulated low.
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Named in this story
European Union, International Energy Agency, Strait of Hormuz