After the CBRT report, the picture on the pension raise was rewritten from scratch: Here are the new figures on the table!

Turkey’s central bank revised its year-end inflation forecast upward, resetting pension increase calculations for millions of SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees ahead of the January 2027 raise. The current minimum pension of 23,552 TL is now subject to revised scenarios combining inflation differentials with flat-rate and welfare-share increases. Four months of data already lock in a partial increase, though the article did not specify the guaranteed percentage. Officials are weighing whether a flat-rate top-up would lift the minimum pension into the 30,000–35,000 TL range. The revision matters because it directly sets the baseline for one of Turkey’s largest social spending items. Next, watch the monthly inflation prints through December, which will finalize the inflation differential and determine whether the flat-rate and welfare-share scenarios are enacted.