AI to surpass humans within 18 months? Hinton, Cristiano's predictions reported
Original headlineAI 18개월 내 인간 추월? 힌턴, 크리스티아노 전망 전해
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Geoffrey Hinton told EU leaders at a Dublin summit on 13 March that AI could surpass human intelligence within 18 months, though the timeline is AI safety researcher Paul Cristiano's estimate rather than Hinton's own. Hinton said he had previously put the threshold at within a decade, and presented Cristiano's shorter forecast while briefing heads of state on AI risk. The remarks carry weight because Hinton is a Turing Award winner and a leading voice on existential AI risk, and the EU is weighing how aggressively to regulate frontier models. Watch for whether Brussels' AI policy timeline shifts in response, and for other researchers to publicly endorse or challenge the 18-month figure.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
Named in this story
Geoffrey Hinton, Paul Christiano, European Union, Crypto Briefing