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A new poll projects the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield will decline to 4.66% in three months, 4.59% in six months and 4.33% in one year, revising the prior October survey's forecasts of 4.70%, 4.60% and 4.25%, respectively. The updated path signals a slightly faster near-term drop but a higher one-year endpoint than previously expected, reflecting economists' recalibration of the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. The 2-year yield is closely tied to rate expectations, so the shift matters for pricing of short-dated government debt and rate-sensitive assets. Watch upcoming inflation and labor data, along with Fed commentary, for confirmation of the projected easing path.

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US 2-Year Treasury